ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF INFLATION ON POVERTY LEVELS IN EAST NUSA TENGGARA POST THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC (2020–2024)

Authors

  • Vidensia B. Anin Universitas Persatuan Guru 1945 NTT
  • Daud Amarato Universitas Persatuan Guru 1945 NTT

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31959/jm.v15i1.3536

Abstract

Introduction: This study aims to analyze the impact of inflation on poverty rates in East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) Province during the post-COVID-19 pandemic period, from 2020 to 2024. NTT is one of the provinces with the highest poverty rates in Indonesia and is highly vulnerable to economic fluctuations, including changes in the prices of goods and services (inflation).
Methods: This study uses a quantitative approach using simple linear regression analysis. The data used are secondary, obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia, covering annual inflation and poverty rates in NTT over the past five years. The main objective of this study is to determine the extent to which inflation affects poverty rates in the region.
Results: Inflation has a negative and statistically significant effect on poverty rates in NTT. Every 1% increase in inflation is estimated to reduce the poverty rate by 1.47%, with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.879. These findings indicate that during the post-pandemic period, low and controlled inflation, coupled with various social assistance policies and economic recovery, contributed to poverty reduction in NTT

Keywords: COVID-19, Development Economics, Inflation, Poverty

References

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2021). Profil Kemiskinan di Indonesia September 2020. Jakarta: BPS.

Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur. (2024). Inflasi Year-on-Year NTT 2020–2024. Diakses dari: https://ntt.bps.go.id

Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur. (2025). Kemiskinan di NTT Maret 2025. Diakses dari: https://ntt.bps.go.id

Bank Indonesia. (2023). Laporan Perekonomian Provinsi NTT Tahun 2022–2023. Kupang: Bank Indonesia Perwakilan NTT.

Friedman, M. (1970). The Counter-Revolution in Monetary Theory. London: Institute of Economic Affairs.

Lestari, A. (2020). Hubungan Inflasi, Pengangguran dan Kemiskinan di Jawa Tengah. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 15(2), 132–140.

Mankiw, N. G. (2014). Principles of Economics (7th ed.). Boston: Cengage Learning.

Putra, I. M., & Dewi, K. (2023). Dampak Makroekonomi Pasca Pandemi terhadap Rumah Tangga Miskin di Indonesia Timur. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan, 18(1), 77–85.

Suryani, N. (2022). Pengaruh Inflasi terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia Tahun 2010–2020. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Sosial, 14(1), 55–63.

Yuliana, D., & Siregar, A. (2021). Analisis Inflasi Pangan terhadap Kemiskinan di Sumatera Utara. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Terapan, 10(2), 102–110.

Downloads

Published

2026-01-05

Issue

Vol. 15 No. 1 (2026)

Section

Articles

License

Copyright (c) 2026 Vidensia B. Anin, Daud Amarato

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Access and Licensing

All articles published in Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi) are available immediately upon publication without any embargo period. No registration or subscription fees are required to access our content.

To facilitate clarity and ease of reuse, Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi) adopts Creative Commons licenses. By default, all articles are published under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0). This license permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that proper attribution is given to the original author(s) and source.

Copyright Policy

Authors publishing in Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi) retain copyright over their work. By submitting and publishing with Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi), authors grant the journal the right of first publication under their chosen open-access license. This ensures that authors maintain full control over their intellectual property while enabling broad dissemination and reuse of their work.

Authors are also encouraged to:

  1. Share their published articles in institutional repositories or personal websites, ensuring proper acknowledgment of initial publication in Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi).
  2. Enter into non-exclusive agreements for further distribution, such as including their articles in books or other publications.